Michael Phelps will definitely swim the 400 IM: Honestly, you saw this coming right? Do you really believe that Michael entered the first event of the meet only to scratch it? It can be confusing, with both Phelps and Ryan Lochte entering a bunch of bogus events that they definitely won't swim (Lochte in the 50 free?). Don't get the 400 IM mixed up in that. Much like 2008, this event will light up the crowd in Omaha from the very beginning of the meet and define what comes after.
The Meet will be "Surprisingly" Fast: Prepare yourself for an onslaught of conversations about how "no one could have predicted this many people would make the meet" and "its amazing how people got faster with the suits getting taken away". It's already a talking point from National Team Director Frank Busch.If it feels like the same people who predicted that
More of the major comebacks will "fail" than succeed: I put "fail" in quotes because if Janet Evans, for instance, goes 8:35 in the 800 free I will consider it a success but by the standard of making the team she will "fail". Likewise for a sub 49 100 free for Anthony Ervin. In order from least likely to most likely to make the team, here are my predictions on the major comebacks:
Amanda Beard (is this a comeback?)
The Psych Sheet is More Important Than You Think: Back in 2008, I looked at how likely an athlete was to make the team if they entered the meet as the #1 or #2 seed. The odds were better than even. Sure, there are unpredictable races here and there, but remember this is a swim meet. The faster swimmers will swim faster- don't overthink it.